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Snow Day Predictor Canada

Saguenay · Quebec · 2026–27 season

Snow Day Predictor SaguenayWill school be cancelled tomorrow in Saguenay?

Live overnight forecast for Chicoutimi, Jonquière, La Baie, and the surrounding Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean territory. The predictor tunes to CSS des Rives-du-Saguenay, CSS de la Jonquière, and CSS du Pays-des-Bleuets closure patterns, with bus cancellation probability returned separately.

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Multi-model forecast, five-factor closure engine, province-aware results. No sign-up, no tracking of your queries.

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What makes Saguenay unique

Saguenay is the major urban centre of the Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean region, one of the coldest and snowiest parts of southern Quebec. Continental cold combined with lake-enhanced snowfall from Lac-Saint-Jean produces routine winter conditions unlike anything in the St. Lawrence valley.

Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean forecast

Saguenay snow day forecast, what to expect this winter

Saguenay sits roughly 200 km north of Quebec City, where the Saguenay River cuts a deep valley out of the Canadian Shield and Lac-Saint-Jean forms an inland sea 1,000 square kilometres wide just to the northwest. The combination produces one of the harshest winter climates in populated Quebec. Annual snowfall in the Chicoutimi and Jonquière sectors averages 340 to 360 cm, nearly double Montreal, and overnight lows of -30 to -35 °C are routine in January and February. Wind chill values below -40 °C occur several times each winter, and the season runs long: measurable snow on the ground from mid-November through mid-April is the norm rather than the exception.

School operations across the urban core are split among three French-language centres de services scolaires. CSS des Rives-du-Saguenay covers the Chicoutimi and La Baie sectors along the Saguenay River, CSS de la Jonquière covers the Jonquière sector and the western portion of the city, and CSS du Pays-des-Bleuets serves the Lac-Saint-Jean municipalities to the north and west. The English-language Central Quebec School Board (CQSB) operates a small number of schools across the region. Each centre de services contracts its own bus operators and makes closure decisions independently. There is no inter-board transportation consortium of the kind found in Toronto or Ottawa, so it is normal for one CSS to close while a neighbouring one runs a regular day.

For Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean families, the practical question on most winter mornings is which of the three boards has called what. Our forecast pulls hourly data at your exact coordinates and returns separate probabilities for school closure and bus cancellation, with the model weighted toward the wind chill, snowfall rate, and visibility thresholds these northern Quebec boards actually use. A storm that would close Montreal CSSDM twice over is often just a regular Tuesday in Chicoutimi, and the model is tuned accordingly.

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School boards

Saguenay school boards we model

The boards and transportation operators that make the morning closure call for Saguenay.

  • Centre de services scolaire des Rives-du-Saguenay

    French-language CSS for the Chicoutimi, La Baie, and Saguenay River municipalities along the south shore. Largest of the Saguenay urban-area boards.

  • Centre de services scolaire de la Jonquière

    French-language CSS covering the Jonquière sector and the western portion of the City of Saguenay. Operates independently of CSS des Rives-du-Saguenay.

  • Centre de services scolaire du Pays-des-Bleuets

    French-language CSS serving the Lac-Saint-Jean side of the region, including Alma, Roberval, and Dolbeau-Mistassini. Lake-effect snow exposure differs materially from the Saguenay River sector.

  • Central Quebec School Board (CQSB)

    English-language coverage across the Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean region, headquartered in Quebec City. Small footprint locally; closure decisions are made centrally and may differ from the French CSS calls.

Bus transportation

Each Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean CSS contracts its own bus operators directly. There is no inter-board consortium of the kind that coordinates transportation in larger Quebec cities, so CSS des Rives-du-Saguenay, CSS de la Jonquière, and CSS du Pays-des-Bleuets each make their own closure and bus cancellation calls independently, typically finalized by 6:00 am the morning of. CQSB transportation follows the English-language board’s separate decision process.

Local weather

Saguenay’s signature winter weather patterns

The phenomena that produce most Saguenay snow days.

  • Continental cold past -35 °C wind chill

    Saguenay is among the coldest populated regions in southern Quebec. Air-mass lows of -30 to -35 °C are normal in January and February, and Arctic outbreaks push wind chill values past -40 °C several times each winter. Extreme-cold closures are a meaningful share of Saguenay snow days, often without any active snowfall.

  • Lac-Saint-Jean lake-effect snow enhancement

    Lac-Saint-Jean is large enough to drive measurable lake-effect snow in early and late winter, before the lake freezes and after the spring thaw begins. Westerly and northwesterly winds crossing the open water deposit bands of heavy snow on the eastern and southern shores, affecting CSS du Pays-des-Bleuets territory most directly but also reaching the Jonquière sector.

  • Saguenay River valley cold-air pooling

    The deep Saguenay River valley between Chicoutimi and La Baie traps cold air on clear, calm nights. Valley-floor temperatures routinely run 5 to 10 °C colder than the surrounding plateau, which matters for morning bus runs in CSS des Rives-du-Saguenay territory. Wind chill forecasts that look manageable on the plateau can be closure-grade on the valley floor.

  • Boreal forest snow accumulation

    Surrounded by boreal forest on all sides, Saguenay receives storm systems tracking across the Canadian Shield from the northwest. Storms that have already dropped snow on the prairies and northern Ontario arrive over the region with renewed moisture from the Hudson Bay corridor, producing reliable 20 to 30 cm events through December, January, and February.

  • Spring late-season storms in March and April

    The Saguenay winter does not end in March. Major storms in late March and April are common, with snowfall totals comparable to mid-winter events. Mid-April closures occur in most seasons, and measurable snow on the ground typically persists into the first week of May.

History

Notable Saguenay snow days in recent winters

Storms and ice events that shaped how Saguenay school boards approach the morning call.

  • Great Ice Storm of 1998

    January 5-10, 1998

    The freezing-rain corridor that defined the 1998 ice storm extended north into the Saguenay region, glazing power infrastructure and forcing multi-day closures across what are now CSS des Rives-du-Saguenay and CSS de la Jonquière. The storm remains the benchmark eastern Canadian winter weather event.

  • February 2019 polar vortex

    February 2019

    A polar vortex displacement pushed Arctic air deep into Quebec, with wind chill values across the Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean region falling below -45 °C for several consecutive mornings. All three regional centres de services scolaires closed schools for extreme cold, a textbook example of a Saguenay closure driven by temperature alone with no snow on the ground.

  • January 2022 Quebec winter storm

    January 17, 2022

    A major winter storm tracking across Quebec deposited 25 to 35 cm of snow on the Saguenay region with high winds and reduced visibility. CSS des Rives-du-Saguenay, CSS de la Jonquière, and CSS du Pays-des-Bleuets all closed for the day, one of the rare same-day full closures across all three boards.

  • December 2010 Saguenay snowstorm

    December 2010

    A late-December snowstorm dropped over 40 cm on Chicoutimi and Jonquière in a 24-hour period, closing schools and disrupting the holiday-week transportation network. The storm is still cited locally as one of the heavier single-event snowfalls of the past two decades.

  • January 2014 extended cold snap

    January 2014

    A prolonged Arctic outbreak in early January 2014 held overnight lows below -30 °C for more than a week across the Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean region. Multiple extreme-cold closure days were called across the regional CSS network, and outdoor recess was suspended for an extended stretch.

  • November 2018 early-season storm

    November 2018

    An early-season Lac-Saint-Jean lake-effect event combined with a passing low-pressure system to deliver 30+ cm of snow on the Pays-des-Bleuets and Jonquière sectors in mid-November, before the regional bus network had fully transitioned to winter routing. CSS du Pays-des-Bleuets closed for the day.

FAQ

Saguenay snow day frequently asked questions

The 7 questions Saguenay parents and teachers ask us most.

Will CSS des Rives-du-Saguenay close tomorrow?

Type your Saguenay postal code or "Saguenay, Quebec" into the predictor above. CSS des Rives-du-Saguenay serves the Chicoutimi and La Baie sectors and makes closure decisions independently of CSS de la Jonquière and CSS du Pays-des-Bleuets. The official call typically comes between 5:30 and 6:00 am the morning of and is posted to the board’s website and social channels. Our predictor returns an advance probability the night before based on the overnight wind chill, snowfall, and visibility forecast at your exact coordinates.

What wind chill closes schools in Saguenay?

There is no fixed provincial threshold, but in practice the Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean centres de services scolaires consider extreme-cold closures when wind chill is forecast at or below -40 to -45 °C during the morning bus run window. Saguenay’s tolerance is meaningfully colder than Montreal or Quebec City because routine winter mornings here already sit in the -25 to -30 °C range. The model is calibrated to that higher local threshold.

Will school be cancelled in Chicoutimi or Jonquière tomorrow?

Chicoutimi falls under CSS des Rives-du-Saguenay; Jonquière falls under CSS de la Jonquière. The two boards make independent closure calls and it is common for one sector to close while the other runs a regular day, especially when valley-floor cold-air pooling concentrates the worst conditions on the Saguenay River side. Enter your specific postal code so the predictor uses the right local forecast and the right board.

How is Saguenay winter different from Montreal or Quebec City?

Saguenay averages roughly twice the seasonal snowfall of Montreal and runs 6 to 10 °C colder on a typical January night. Storms that close Montreal CSSDM and the Centre de services scolaire de Montréal are often regular operating days in Chicoutimi or Jonquière. The closure threshold here is shifted noticeably toward the extreme end: Saguenay closes for events that would be considered exceptional in the St. Lawrence valley, and runs through events that would close Montreal entirely.

Does CSS de la Jonquière always close with CSS des Rives-du-Saguenay?

No. The two boards cover adjacent territory and often face similar weather, but each makes its own independent decision and there is no inter-board consortium coordinating the call. Differences are most common during cold-air-pooling events, when the Saguenay River valley sees materially colder morning temperatures than the Jonquière plateau, and during Lac-Saint-Jean lake-effect events that hit Jonquière harder than Chicoutimi.

How does the Saguenay River valley affect morning forecasts?

On clear, calm winter nights the deep Saguenay River valley between Chicoutimi and La Baie traps cold air, producing valley-floor temperatures 5 to 10 °C colder than the surrounding plateau. A regional forecast showing -28 °C may translate to -36 °C at bus-stop level in Bagotville or downtown Chicoutimi. Our predictor pulls hourly data at your exact coordinates rather than averaging across the region, so the valley-floor cold shows up correctly when it matters.

Will Lac-Saint-Jean CSS (du Pays-des-Bleuets) close with Saguenay?

CSS du Pays-des-Bleuets covers the Lac-Saint-Jean side of the region, including Alma, Roberval, and Dolbeau-Mistassini. Its closure decisions are independent of the two Saguenay urban-area boards and frequently differ from them, particularly during lake-effect snow events that concentrate on the eastern and southern shores of Lac-Saint-Jean before the lake freezes. If you live on the Lac-Saint-Jean side, use the predictor with your local postal code rather than relying on the Chicoutimi or Jonquière call.

Near Saguenay

Nearby Quebec cities

Other Quebec cities our forecast covers — same regional profile, different local weather.

Looking for forecasts across the rest of Quebec? View the Quebec hub with all school boards, transportation consortia, weather zones, and a full city directory. Or browse the provinces & territories hub for every Canadian region.

Also in Quebec: Montreal · Laval · Gatineau · Longueuil · Sherbrooke · Lévis · Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu

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